This isn’t just looking like a crappy weekend, as much as the entire month of March has been fairly bad compared to previous years. Right now, it looks like it’s up to Steven Spielberg and his Ready Player One next weekend to save one of the worst Marches at the box office in recent memory. We’ll talk more about that in Monday’s box office report, so let’s get to yesterday’s box office estimates.
As expected, Universal and Legendary Pictures’ Pacific Rim: Uprising will win the weekend, stopping Black Panther‘s seemingly unstoppable run, but with the same mid-$20 million opening that was expected. It grossed an estimated $10.4 million on Friday including $2.4 million in Thursday previews, so it will be #1 this weekend with around $26 million or so.
Black Panther took second place yesterday with $4.4 million, pointing to a weekend of around $17 million. Marvel Studios’ latest will become the highest-grossing superhero movie domestically by Sunday, as it passes Marvel’s The Avengers‘ $623.3 million domestic gross.
The faith-based drama I Can Only Imagine had a negligible drop thanks to positive word-of-mouth, as it grossed $3.8 million yesterday pointing to it staying in third place with around $12 or 13 million.
Paramount’s animated Sherlock Gnomes also underperformed, taking in an est. $2.8 million on Friday, which might make it a struggle to make $10 million in its first weekend.
Warner Bros’ Tomb Raider took fourth place with $2.9 million but it’s likely to fall to fifth place with Sherlock Gnomes doing more business on the weekend.
The Fox rom-com Love, Simon took in $2.3 million yesterday, pointing to a 2nd weekend between $7 and 8 million, as it goes up against Ava Duvernay’s A Wrinkle in Time for sixth place.
The other three new movies will end up near the bottom or just outside the top 10 as Sony’s biblical epic Paul, Apostle of Christ looks to take in $1.7 million, pointing to an opening weekend above $4 million in just 1,400 theaters.
The Y.A. romance Midnight Sun starring Bella Thorne and Patrick Schwarzenegger did slightly less yesterday, and it might just scrape its way into the top 10.
On the other hand, Steven Soderbergh’s thriller Unsane, starring Claire Foy, is looking like it might be one of his biggest bombs, except that it was made for such a low budget that maybe it should have just gone for a platform release rather than opening in 2,000 theaters. It grossed an est. $1.3 million
Playing in just 27 theaters, Wes Anderson’s Isle of Dogs grossed $556k yesterday, and it should have an amazing per-theater average for the weekend with $60k-plus per venue.
Check back on Monday for my full box office report on the weekend.
Edward Douglas | East Coast Editor