YOUR COMPLETE WEEKEND BOX OFFICE TRACKING, PREDICTIONS, & ANALYSIS (06.04.15)
0WEEKEND PREDICTIONS
Spy |
$36 million |
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San Andreas |
$29.8 million |
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Insidious Chapter 3 |
$28 million |
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Entourage |
$18 million |
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Pitch Perfect 2 |
$7.4 million |
Spy will most certainly come out on top this weekend, with wide appeal and interest, but everything else is less certain. Insidious could open stronger than expected, giving San Andreas a run for its money. The horror flick is tracking higher with audiences than The Conjuring sequel Annabelle did, and Annabelle opened with $37 million back in 2014. Insidious Chapter 2 grossed over $40 million its first weekend after all, and reviews for the third installment have been favorable so far.
Surprisingly, Spy has been tracking just as high (if not higher) with men as with women. Having a well-balanced gender ratio in the cast is helping draw in a potential male audience, what with Jude Law and Jason Statham leveling with Melissa McCarthy and Rose Byrne.
Entourage is getting no love from critics but plenty from fans. Unless it can draw in a lot of existing fans this weekend, it’ll be lucky to hit $18 million. The Emmy-winning show ran for 8 seasons on HBO, ending 4 years ago.
Opening Weekend | Current Gross | Facebook Likes | Tweets | |
Spy | N/A | N/A | 122,025 | 14,481 |
San Andreas | $54.588 million | $59.405 million | 619,528 | 44,949 |
Insidious Chapter 3 | N/A | N/A | 4,324,627 | 122,086 |
Entourage | N/A | N/A | 3,951,675 | 56,528 |
Pitch Perfect 2 | $14.823 million | $148.947 million | 5,347,193 | 113,089 |
The truly difficult call this week is where Pitch Perfect 2, Mad Max: Fury Road, and Tomorrowland will fall. Pitch Perfect 2 is still tracking very high on Twitter, but a great deal of its audience could move over to Spy. Mad Max has consistently seen a drop of only 45% weekend to weekend, even with San Andreas kicking ass and taking names last week. It’ll likely trail just behind Pitch Perfect, missing it only by a few hundred thousand. Any buzz Tomorrowland had has evaporated, and if it experiences another drop of nearly 60%, it’ll land behind both with around $6 million.
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Rotten Tomatoes | IMDb | Metacritic | ||||
Critics | Users | # of Ratings | Stars | # of Ratings | ||
Spy | 94 | N/A | 72 | 7.5 | 5,371 | 76 |
San Andreas | 48 | 64 | 32,071 | 6.7 | 17,499 | 43 |
Insidious Chapter 3 | 67 | N/A | 25 | 7.5 | 896 | N/A |
Entourage | 31 | 84 | 18,229 | 8.0 | 2,287 | 38 |
Pitch Perfect 2 | 65 | 73 | 54,421 | 7.0 | 24,306 | 63 |
Opening this weekend as well are Testament of Youth and Love & Mercy. Starring Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina) and Kit Harrington (Game of Thrones), Testament of Youth is an adaptation of a young war nurse’s WWI memoir.
Love & Mercy is a Brian Wilson biopic, the lead singer and songwriter of the Beach Boys. Wilson is played by both Paul Dano (Little Miss Sunshine) and John Cusack in a dual narrative spanning different time periods of his tumultuous history.Love & Mercy is a Brian Wilson biopic, the lead singer and songwriter of the Beach Boys. Wilson is played by both Paul Dano (Little Miss Sunshine) and John Cusack in a dual narrative spanning different time periods of his tumultuous history.
(Sources: boxoffice.com, rottentomatoes.com, imdb.com, metacritic.com. Starred figures are estimates. Tweets represent figures for this week only. Figures represent numbers at time of writing, and may have changed. Tracking Board does not report Rotten Tomatoes user ratings for movies that have not yet seen wide release.)
Parker Mills | Contributor