WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

	Jurassic World	$53.3 million
	Ted 2	$51 million
	Inside Out	$49.7 million
	Max	$8.5 million
	Spy	$7.8 million

There’s no denying it’s going to be a really tight race this weekend. Jurassic World, Inside Out, and Ted 2 are all being projected right around the $50 million mark. Although Inside Out is trending seriously high with parents, they haven’t exactly forgotten about Jurassic World. Jurassic World experienced a 49% drop from its first to second weekend, but even if it experiences another similar hit, it can still best Inside Out and Ted 2. It’s made over a billion worldwide, and it’ll leave the $500 million domestic mark in the dust this weekend.

The original Ted bowed 3 years ago with a $54 million opening at number one, even beating out Magic Mike. It still hangs on in the top 5 for highest R-Rated comedy opening, falling behind the likes of the Hangover series and 22 Jump Street. The sequel is tracking higher on social media and pre-sales than the original, and it’s on track to hit somewhere around $50 million for its opening weekend.

If it does as well as hoped for, Ted 2 will add to Universal’s impossible string of 2015 movies that are killing it at the box office. In the last six months, the studio’s seen unbelievable success with Fifty Shades of Grey, Furious 7, Pitch Perfect 2, and Jurassic World. What’s more, the hotly-anticipated Despicable Me spinoff Minions drops on July 10th, and early projections are putting it around Despicable Me 2‘s $83 million opening.

	Opening Weekend	Current Gross	Facebook Likes	Tweets
Jurassic World	$208.806 million	$436.937 million	7,188,178	689,717
Ted 2	N/A	N/A	21,802,039	18,416
Inside Out	$90.440 million	$113.965 million	336,858	163,098
Max	N/A	N/A	178,659	7,674
Spy	$29.085 million	$79.342 million	N/A	N/A

Inside Out will see around a 49% drop, putting it just under $50 million its sophomoric weekend. Similar to Mad Max: Fury Road and the 5th place Spy, the Pixar flick will see longevity thanks to its great reviews, but not crazy numbers post-opening.

Max will be lucky to hit $9 million, though it could in certain parts of the country, namely the middle and the south. There’s a general lack of awareness of the film, which tells the story of a Marine dog who’s adopted by his handler’s family after the handler is killed in action. Spy will hang on, replicating its 30% drop of last weekend. It might lose some of its R-Rated comedy audience to Ted 2, but the reviews have been subpar so far, especially in comparison to Spy‘s stellar ones.

	Rotten Tomatoes			IMDb		Metacritic
	Critics	Users	# of Ratings	Stars	# of Ratings
Jurassic World	71	83	161,219	7.5	132,794	59
Ted 2	45	N/A	53	6.9	484	48
Inside Out	98	92	56,393	8.9	21,461	93
Max	50	N/A	10	8	630	N/A
Spy	95	85	50,657	7.6	28,612	75

Documentary Batkid Begins opens in three theaters this weekend, portraying San Francisco’s transformation into Gotham City so 5-year-old leukemia survivor Miles Scott could become “Batkid” for a day. The Outskirts and A Little Chaos are both seeing limited release this weekend as well.

Comedy The Outskirts tells the story of two best friends who band together the outcasts of their high school to take on the queen bee popular girl. A Little Chaos is Alan Rickman’s second time directing, after 1997’s The Winter Guest, and will be released on VOD Friday as well. Chaos stars Kate Winslet and Matthias Schoenaerts as landscaping artists who fall in love while building a garden at Versailles for Louis XIV.

(Sources: boxoffice.com, rottentomatoes.com, imdb.com, metacritic.com. Starred figures are estimates. Tweets represent figures for this week only. Figures represent numbers at time of writing, and may have changed. Tracking Board does not report Rotten Tomatoes user ratings for movies that have not yet seen wide release.)

Parker Mills | Contributor