by: Madelyn Glymour | Contributor
There’s not much to say, this week, at least not as far as the top spot goes. Mockingjay is going to take the weekend. Mockingjay is going to take the weekend by a lot. How much is Mockingjay going to win by? Well, let’s put it this way: This weekend, Mockingjay is going to earn more money than you and your 50 closest friends will in your entire lives, unless you or one of your 50 closest friends happen to be Jennifer Lawrence. Projections have been saying the latest Hunger Games installment could go as high as $170 million (!) or as low as $130 million (chump change). General consensus, however, has it around $150 million, on par with what the first two films made.
|Opening Weekend||Current Gross||Facebook Likes||Tweets|
|THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 1||N/A||N/A||21,849,178||442,874|
|BIG HERO 6||$56.216 million||$113.31 million||552,160||137,393|
|DUMB AND DUMBER TO||$36.112 million||$40.578 million||4,202,853||79,373|
|INTERSTELLAR||$47.51 million||$101.715 million||842,695||173,076|
|BEYOND THE LIGHTS||$6.2 million||$6.953 million||387,024||119,953|
The rest of the top five is a little more complicated, but not by much. Interstellar is more or less guaranteed the #4 spot, and Beyond the Lights has a very good shot at hanging on to #5. Gone Girl had a good long run, but if it drops the 25 percent that it’s been hovering around for the past few weekends, it’ll be at $3.42 million, and Beyond the Lights would have to drop 45 percent to dip below that. Not impossible by any means, but people seem to like Beyond the Lights, and I think it’ll squeak out a win on word of mouth.
That leaves Dumb and Dumber To and Big Hero 6 to battle it out for second place. Dumb and Dumber won last week with $36 million, about $2 million more than the second week of Big Hero 6. But it didn’t get a very good reception; it seems to have left even die-hard fans of the original movie cold, so word of mouth is unlikely to help it. It’s worth noting that the only day that Dumb and Dumber topped sales was on Friday; every day since then, it’s been outperformed by either Big Hero 6 or Interstellar. I’m anticipating a fairly large drop for Dumb and Dumber (somewhere in the 55 percent range), and a comparatively low one for Big Hero 6, which, besides being well reviewed, remains the only real family-friendly option on the table. They’ll still be close, and there’s some room for error — in particular, Mockingjay seems more likely to cut into Big Hero 6‘s audience than Dumb and Dumber‘s — but if I had to guess (and I do), I’d put Big Hero 6 second and Dumb and Dumber third.
|Critics||Users||# of Ratings||Stars||# of Ratings|
|THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 1||70||N/A||175,135||7.6||6,269||64|
|BIG HERO 6||89||94||45,728||8.4||15,615||75|
|DUMB AND DUMBER TO||24||56||37,404||7.0||9,236||36|
|BEYOND THE LIGHTS||85||85||9,207||6.5||883||73|
(Sources: boxoffice.com, rottentomatoes.com, imdb.com, metacritic.com. Starred figures are estimates. Tweets represent figures for this week only. Figures represent numbers at time of writing, and may have changed. Tracking Board does not report Rotten Tomatoes user ratings for movies that have not yet seen wide release.)