Your Complete Weekend Box Office Tracking, Predictions, & Analysis (04.02.15)

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$110 million

HOME

$26 million

$14 million

$9 million

$8 million

There’s not much to say, this week. Furious 7 is going to sweep the box office. If the tracking and social media numbers weren’t enough to convinces me (it has 54 million Facebook likes), the fact that everyone I know seems to have spent the last week doing a complete franchise rewatch would. Reviews are glowing. Excitement is high. The tragic death of franchise star Paul Walker, sadly, must also be taken into account, as it will likely draw in an audience. Furious 6 made almost $100 million in its opening weekend; Furious 7 should make significantly more.

Opening Weekend Current Gross Facebook Likes Tweets
N/A N/A 54,155,235  222,542
HOME $52.108 million $63.72 million
$33.803 million $41.749 million 194,302 134,154
$52.264 million $91.381 million 4,904,840 236,092
$67.877 million $154.916 million 13,292,092 42,087

And now the best of the rest. Last week’s breakout Home, as the freshest kids’ option on the table, should hang on reasonably well, dropping by no more than 50 percent. Get Hard, on the other hand, may have more problems; although it’s a comedy and not an action film, it shares significantly more of its demographic with Furious 7, and could struggle in its shadow. Insurgent will likely continue experiencing fatigue in its third week, with another drop of around 60 percent, while Cinderella, if trends continue, will drop 50 percent. The #2 – #5 spots should keep the same relative order as last weeks #1 – #4 — although Insurgent and Cinderella will end up close enough that they could trade places.

     
Rotten Tomatoes IMDb Metacritic
Critics Users # of Ratings Stars # of Ratings  
82 N/A 136,361 8.6 14,105 66
HOME 47 69 24,629 6.8 4,679 55
29 61 30,069 6.3 4,451 34
31 68 51,690 7.0 24,821 42
85 86 47,381 7.6 23,778 67

(Sources: boxoffice.com, rottentomatoes.com, imdb.com, metacritic.com. Starred figures are estimates. Tweets represent figures for this week only. Figures represent numbers at time of writing, and may have changed. Tracking Board does not report Rotten Tomatoes user ratings for movies that have not yet seen wide release.)

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