YOUR COMPLETE WEEKEND BOX OFFICE TRACKING, PREDICTIONS, & ANALYSIS (11.12.15)

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WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

Spectre

$34 million

The Peanuts Movie

$29 million

Love the Coopers

$7.3 million

The 33

$7.2 million

The Martian

$7.1 million

It’s neck and neck this weekend between Bond and Brown as Spectre and The Peanuts Movie battle for the coveted top spot.  Most insiders are leaning either way – that’s how close it is. Though Spectre didn’t perform as well as its predecessor Skyfall and has received mixed reviews, we’re betting that ole 007 has enough juice to carry in another win. The film raked in $70,403,148 last weekend, just a few million shy of our expectations.

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However, a win over Peanuts at the Veterans Day box office has us convinced that Bond will win out. Currently, the film has grossed $90,957,011 domestic, putting the 24th installment of the franchise 21% behind the pace of Skyfall and 15 percent ahead of 2008’s Quantum of Solace. Reasonably, Spectre will see a dramatic drop in weekend two as all major tentpoles do, but it opened drastically higher than Peanuts, making it less likely that it’ll be kicked from the top spot. A drop is also expected due to the endless barrage of conflicting reviews for the spy thriller, with a slew of critics brutally bashing the James Bond outing. Despite the reviews, we’re betting that the $310,178,360 worldwide gross is a sign that the film will have some legs.

 
  Opening Weekend Current Gross Facebook Likes Tweets
Spectre $70.403 million
$90.957 million
4,206,233 26,846
Peanuts $44.213 million $56.763 million 563,940 2,018
Love The Coopers
N/A N/A N/A N/A
The 33 N/A N/A N/A N/A
The Martian
$54.308 million $200.009 million 417,037 2170

The Peanuts Movie seriously surprised with an impressive $44,213,073 and enjoyed a fond critical reception, proving that nostalgia viewing is alive and well at the domestic box office. Peanuts is expecting a slight drop, with insiders anticipating around $25-$32 million for returns. The beloved Charles Schulz creation proved last weekend that it’s going to be a formidable presence this holiday season and the long success of Hotel Transylvania 2 lends us to believe that another animated flick will have some staying power. We’re predicting a still impressive $29 million for the film, which has currently grossed $56,763,800 domestic.

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Bond and Peanuts are only competing with each other, as the three main releases of the weekend are all projected to debut under 10 million. Love the Coopers, The 33, and My All American have enjoyed rotten reviews and aren’t expected to gross over $7 million, with My All American not even looking to break the top 5. Love the Coopers is an ensemble film that boasts an impressive cast, but isn’t likely to pull big numbers. and CBS Films are hoping that the film will play well among older women and into Thanksgiving weekend, though we’re anticipating the holiday film will pull $7.3 million. Chilean miner drama The 33 is also receiving mixed reviews, but is expected to go toe to toe with Love The Coopers. However, it’ll drop just shy of a million from the Christmas comedy, settling for fourth. The Martian, which has seen out of this world numbers, will solidly remain in the top 5, adding another $7 million to its already impressive $200 million domestic gross.

       
  Rotten Tomatoes IMDb Metacritic
  Critics Users # of Ratings Stars # of Ratings  
Spectre 64 69 70,458 7.3 72,206 60
Peanuts 86 85 48,655 8.1 2,390 67
Love The Coopers
24 N/A N/A 6.0 105 24
The 33 34 N/A N/A 7.1 1,637 54
The Martian
93 93 85,103 8.2 160,786 80

Man Up Movie

Other releases include the Simon Pegg/Lake Bell romantic comedy Man Up, which has been hitting big with critics. The indie rom-com is joined by Angeline Jolie-Pitt’s By The Sea, which co-stars her husband Brad Pitt. The arthouse drama hasn’t fared well with critics thus far and will be experiencing a limited release.

(Sources: boxoffice.com, rottentomatoes.com, imdb.com, metacritic.com. Starred figures are estimates. Tweets represent figures for this week only. Figures represent numbers at time of writing, and may have changed. Tracking Board does not report Rotten Tomatoes user ratings for movies that have not yet seen wide release.)

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