YOUR COMPLETE WEEKEND BOX OFFICE TRACKING, PREDICTIONS, & ANALYSIS (4.7.16)

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the box office-2

 

box office collage

Batman v Superman

$25.7 million

The Boss

$22.5 million

Zootopia

$14.4 million

Hardcore Henry

$9 million

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2

$6.7 million

While Batman v Superman will hold onto 1st place this weekend, it’ll be by the skin of its teeth. After a painful 69% drop in its second showing, the superhero brawl is looking at another drop of around 50%. The day-to-day numbers for BvS have slowed considerably, dipping under what Deadpool was pulling in its own third week back in February. The Zac Snyder pic is set to pass $300 million domestic by Sunday night, but it won’t get too far over. Worldwide, the film sits at $704.5 million, but with this weekend plus updated foreign numbers, it’s poised to cross the $800 million mark soon. Having grossed nearly $100 million in China alone, the overseas market is what’s keeping this Justice League prequel in the black after an extensive marketing campaign.

boss

Melissa McCarthy’s The Boss will do its best to knock BvS down a peg, but its doubtful the comedy has what it takes to quite hit the mid-$20 million range. Directed by McCarthy’s husband Ben Falcone, the Universal film also stars Kristen Bell. This is Falcone’s follow-up to Tammy, which opened to $21.6 million in 2014. With worse reviews than TammyThe Boss isn’t looking at much higher than $22 million. The saving grace here could be audiences fondly remembering Melissa McCarthy in last June’s Spy, which opened at $29 million and enjoyed glowing reviews (see our review of The Boss here).

There’s nothing to stop Zootopia from taking 3rd this weekend, as both new openers are R-Rated. The family friendly flick will continue to dominate, as even a fall of 30% still puts it north of $13 million in its 6th weekend. Like BvS, this new Disney classic will be close to crossing the $300 million mark after this weekend, and has already grossed over $807 million worldwide as of today. While its unlikely the animated film will be able to surpass Frozen‘s stunning numbers ($400.7 million domestic, $1.3 billion worldwide), Zootopia‘s run has been nothing to scoff at, given its the second highest earning film in 2016, and its made $55 million more worldwide than the number one spot Deadpool.

 
  Opening Weekend Current Gross Facebook Likes Tweets
Batman v Superman $166.007 million $270.529 million 50,326  525,337
The Boss N/A N/A 293,233 6,650
Zootopia $75.063 million $280.079 million 615,328 97,446
Hardcore Henry N/A N/A 171,123 10,994
Greek Wedding 2 $17.862 million $29.483 million N/A N/A

Fellow newcomer Hardcore Henry will take 4th, opening in the high single digits. Picked up at TIFF last year for $10 million by STX after a tense bidding war, the first person action film is being alternatively lauded as game changing or dismissed as a gimmick. As STX’s highest opening to date was last August’s The Gift, grossing $11.9 million in its first weekend in 500 less theaters, this could be a record-breaking weekend for the newly-formed company if the social media buzz turns into box office revenue (read our review here).

hardcore

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will take 5th, dipping around 40%. The sequel has grossed $39.5 million so far (read our review here). In 6th and 7th will be Christian pics Miracles from Heaven and God’s Not Dead 2, both clocking in around $4.5 million. Eighth place belongs to Allegiant, which will fall another 40% for a take of $3.4 million. The third in the Divergent series has grossed just $57.8 million in three weeks, taking in another $79.6 million overseas. 10 Cloverfield Lane will take 9th with around $2.7 million, and Eye in the Sky will take 10th, adding another 600 locations this weekend. With over 1,000 theaters now, Sky should draw in around $2.5 million, giving it a solid chance at finishing in 9th instead.

       
  Rotten Tomatoes IMDb Metacritic
  Critics Users # of Ratings Stars # of Ratings  
Batman v Superman 29 70 192,715 7.3 2,759 44
The Boss 18 N/A 47 3.9 102 37
Zootopia 99 95 55,145 8.4 52,672 78
Hardcore Henry 59 N/A 42 6.9 1,949 51
Greek Wedding 2 25 65 13,513 6.4 3,428 37

Newcomer Demolition is opening in 850 locations this weekend. The Jake Gyllenhaal drama premiered at SXSW, and while its leading man has received positive reviews for his performance, the film overall hasn’t gained a ton of traction in the weeks since its Austin debut (read our review here). Michael Showalter’s Hello, My Name Is Doris is adding more theaters – now into 978 nationally – after a strong performance at the specialty box office, raking in $23,410 per screen.

jake g

Richard Linklater’s Everybody Wants Some!! is gradually making its way into more theaters, landing in a total of 63 this weekend with more expected in the upcoming weeks as it rides a wave of positive reviews (read our review here). The Anna Kendrick-Sam Rockwell rom-com Mr. Right opens in 35 theaters this weekend – the latest from screenwriter Max Landis, whose been making headlines left-and-right lately with his massive sales.  Rounding out the indie releases is Jeff Nichols sci-fi drama Midnight Special, which expands to a total of 493 screens.

(Sources: boxoffice.com, rottentomatoes.com, imdb.com, metacritic.com. Starred figures are estimates. Tweets represent figures for this week only. Figures represent numbers at time of writing, and may have changed. Tracking Board does not report Rotten Tomatoes user ratings for movies that have not yet seen wide release.)

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